Friday, June 4, 2010

Group G

With 1 week to go until the World Cup starts I delve into the tricky group G.

Brazil (FIFA world rank 1, 19th appearance (5 time winner))

Brazil is the only nation to have qualified and played in every single world cup. They are also the nation with the most World Cup titles with a total of 5 (Italy is second with 4 and Germany third with 3). Brazil qualified for this world cup by winning the South American qualifying group and they secured there spot in South Africa by beating their fiercest rival Argentina. Brazil had some hiccups in qualifying and they started fairly slowly. However, they managed to do enough to finish top of the table. This time around they had many more draws than they would have preferred, but a draw is better than a loss.

Brazil will be lead by coach Dunga. The former player, captain, and world cup winner for Brazil (at USA 94) took over the team in 07 as his first coaching job. Like I said, the team started out slowly but then quickly took to Dunga's style and started bringing home the victories, including the 2009 Confederations Cup trophy (beating the USA 3-2). Brazil is littered with talent up and down the field and you can see just how talented they are when they leave out players like Ronaldo, Adriano, and Ronaldinho. However, players such as Kaka, Robinho, Luis Fabiano, Dani Alves, Maicon, and Julio Caesar have all made the trip. Dunga was known for his hard tackling and no non-sense style and he has imparted that in his new team. While this team is more pragmatic than they once were, they can still attack in waves and in great style. Brazil will play some of the most entertaining soccer at this world cup

Portugal (3, 5)

Portugal enters this world cup hoping to only slight build on their 06 WC performance where they finished in 4th. That slight improvement this WC could mean their first ever World Cup title. However, questions have come up about this version of the Portugal team as even though they are ranked 3rd in the world they do not seem to be as good as the 06 team. They qualified second in their group behind Denmark and they weren't that impressive. They only finished 1 point ahead of Sweden and 3 ahead of Hungary for that second place. They then beat Bosnia-Heregovina in their playoff but only just. BH hit the post 3 times in quick succession and had any of those gone in then Portugal might not even be at this world cup.

Portugal will of course be led by former world player of the year Cristiano Ronaldo. Possibly the most technically gifted player on the planet, Ronaldo transfered from Manchester United to Real Madrid last summer for a record fee of 100 million euros. Ronaldo has scored goals in bunches at the club level, but like Leo Messi, has failed to make the dramatic impression on the national stage as the likes of Pele, Maradona, Ronaldo (the Brazilian), and Romario have. However, he can carry a team on his back. The other problem for this team is the center of defense and midfield. They are not as strong in these places as they were last world cup but are hoping some young talent can fill in and make that leap forward. The likes of Nani, Pepe and Miguel Veloso will be expected to step up.

Ivory Coast (27, 2)

The Ivory Coast has been touted by many to be the African nation with the best chance to win the world cup. However, in each of the last 2 world cup's (their only WC appearances) they have had poor luck in the draw and been forced into the so-called "group of death". The Ivory Coast has a team full of players who have made big impacts in European club soccer. However, this group may be too much for them. They qualified fairly easily, topping their group with a +15 goal differential in only 6 games.

The Ivory Coast will utilize players such as Gervinho, Bakari Kone, Salomon Kalou, Emmanuel Eboue, and the Toure brothers, Yaya and Kolo. These players are all big time players in European club soccer and have great experience. They play well together as a team and can attack brilliantly (they have been likened to Brazil in this regard). However, a recent blow has come to this team. Their top scorer and captain, Didier Drogba, broke his elbow in a friendly warm up match against Japan and is now expected to miss the entire World Cup. This is a huge blow to a team with high expectations and could be the death of them.

North Korea (105, 2)

North Korea, or Korea DPR, is the lowest ranked team in this world cup. They qualified by finished second behind South Korea and by having a better goal differential over Saudi Arabia (both teams finished on 12 points but NK has a +2 goal differential or SA's even). North Korea also only scored 7 goals in 8 games and relied heavily on a strong defense to earn their birth at this world cup.

North Korea is very much an major unknown. Most of their team plays in the North Korean league so very few players are known internationally. Mun In-Guk was their leading goal scorer in the qualifiers but he only scored twice. Ri Jun-Il led the team in appearances. The only thing that is truly known about this team is that they will play strong defensively and only counter attack. They will concede possession to anyone they play. However, I don't think their defense will be strong enough to keep out the likes of Brazil, Portugal, and Ivory Coast.

Predictions:

In my opinion, the first game in this group will decide it. Portugal and the Ivory Coast will play each other and the winner of this game will finish in second. I don't believe that North Korea will win a game or even get a draw or a goal. I think Brazil will go into the last game on 6 points and will play Portugal only needing a draw to secure top spot. This could work in Portugal's favor but with Ivory Coast playing North Korea in their last game, they may only need to win by a certain margin in order to finish second. And knowing that can really help a team out. At first I predicted the Ivory Coast to finish second in this group after beating Portugal and North Korea while losing to Brazil. I also thought Portugal would draw or lose to Brazil in the final game meaning Brazil would finish on 7, Ivory Coast on 6 and Portugal on 4. However, with the recent injury to Drogba I have questions. Who will take of the scoring for the Ivory Coast. Yes they still have a great team with lots of talent but they don't have that recognized goal scorer anymore. This could be a massive blow to the Ivory Coast even with Portugal struggling. I now think that the Portugal-Ivory Coast game will end in a draw which means that going into the last day, Brazil will be leading the group with 6 points and be assured of progressing. Portugal will be on 4 points and would need either a draw or better goal differential to move on. Ivory Coast would be on 1 point but would be playing North Korea knowing that a win by a big enough margin could put them into the knock out stages. Since Brazil would want to finish top of the group and knowing a draw would do so, I could see them play Portugal to a draw so both sides could move on. However, Brazil is very competitive and could easily win. I think Brazil would win the game at which point it comes down to goal differential to see if either the Ivory Coast of Portugal move on. I am still giving the advantage to the Ivory Coast because of Portugal's recent struggles but with Cristiano Ronaldo on their side who knows what will happen.

No comments:

Post a Comment